Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 • Pors Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.96) 1.59 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.4% 25.0% 49.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 1
11.2%
1 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
jerv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pors Grenland 0 7.0% 11.2% 8.9% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
1 7.5% 11.9% 9.5% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.0% 6.3% 5.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
3 1.4% 2.3% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPors Grenlandjerv
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack35%45%
Defense15%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)17 | 3.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pors Grenland jerv
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins30%18%24%45%60%52%
Draws40%27%33%27%10%19%
Loses30%55%43%27%30%29%

Form: Pors Grenland: DDLWLLDLDLDWWDDWWLLLL • jerv: DWLWDDWLLWWLWWWWLLWWD

League goals

Metric Pors Grenland jerv
HATHAT
GF total111930211839
GF avg1.11.71.41.91.81.9
GA total122941151934
GA avg1.22.62.01.41.91.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePors Grenlandjerv
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%81%86%86%
1.533%57%52%52%
2.519%29%33%19%
3.510%19%14%5%
4.50%10%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPors Grenlandjerv
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score314123

Penalties

MetricPors Grenlandjerv
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPors Grenlandjerv
Wins24
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-34-12-4
Biggest losses0-25-01-34-0
Goals For4444
Goals Against2534

Model comparison

MetricPors Grenlandjerv
Form30%70%
Att44%56%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total42.5%57.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or jerv and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.86 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.18 @ Pinnacle
Away1.62 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Pinnacle
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pors Grenland = 1.07 (league 1.96), jerv = 1.59 (league 1.36)

jerv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pors Grenland 0 7.0% 11.2% 8.9% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
1 7.5% 11.9% 9.5% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.0% 6.3% 5.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
3 1.4% 2.3% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.4% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 49.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1