Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 11:00 •
PreZero Arena
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 2.04)
1.96 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.0% | 21.9% | 52.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.9%
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Farsta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Smedby | 0 | 4.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 5.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Smedby | Farsta |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 91% |
| Defense | 27% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Smedby | Farsta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 18% | 27% | 23% | 64% | 36% | 50% |
| Draws | 45% | 27% | 36% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| Loses | 36% | 45% | 41% | 27% | 55% | 41% |
Form: Smedby: DDWDWDLLLLDWLDLLLDWLWD • Farsta: WLWWLLLWWWWWWLDDLWLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Smedby | Farsta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 18 | 35 | 28 | 15 | 43 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 23 | 20 | 43 | 13 | 19 | 32 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Smedby | Farsta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 86% | 82% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 64% | 59% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 36% | 32% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 9% | 18% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Smedby | Farsta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Smedby | Farsta |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 50.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 50.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Smedby | Farsta |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 1-5 | 5-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-1 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Smedby | Farsta |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 23% | 77% |
| Total | 45.0% | 55.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Farsta
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Smedby = 1.25 (league 2.04), Farsta = 1.96 (league 1.50)
| Farsta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Smedby | 0 | 4.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 5.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.0% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 52.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1