Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 17:30 • Myrsjö IP
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.98) 1.16 (league 1.65)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.0% 29.1% 38.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Järfälla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nacka Iliria 0 11.2% 13.0% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.5% 13.4% 7.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.9% 6.9% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNacka IliriaJärfälla
Played55
Form67%80%
Attack42%79%
Defense74%84%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.615 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nacka Iliria Järfälla
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins73%42%57%83%55%70%
Draws9%17%13%17%18%17%
Loses18%42%30%0%27%13%

Form: Nacka Iliria: DWDWLLWWWWWLWLLWLWDWWLW • Järfälla: DWWLWWWWDLWWDWWWWDLWWWW

League goals

Metric Nacka Iliria Järfälla
HATHAT
GF total322557321850
GF avg2.92.12.52.71.62.2
GA total1319329817
GA avg1.21.61.40.80.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNacka IliriaJärfälla
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%65%91%70%
1.561%39%65%4%
2.543%17%39%0%
3.522%9%9%0%
4.59%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNacka IliriaJärfälla
HATHAT
Clean sheets448347
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricNacka IliriaJärfälla
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Total11

Streaks

MetricNacka IliriaJärfälla
Wins54
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins10-00-57-00-4
Biggest losses3-46-42-1
Goals For10574
Goals Against4612

Model comparison

MetricNacka IliriaJärfälla
Form45%55%
Att35%65%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total38.0%62.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Järfälla

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away2.30 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.49 @ Superbet
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Nacka Iliria = 1.03 (league 1.98), Järfälla = 1.16 (league 1.65)

Järfälla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nacka Iliria 0 11.2% 13.0% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.5% 13.4% 7.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.9% 6.9% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.0% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 38.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1