Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 13:00 • Svedjevallen
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.97) 3.55 (league 1.66)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.4% 7.6% 74.2%
best score tips
0 - 3
11.2%
0 - 4
9.9%
0 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Nacka Iliria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ytterhogdal 0 1.5% 5.3% 9.5% 11.2% 9.9% 7.0%
1 1.0% 3.5% 6.1% 7.3% 6.4% 4.6%
2 0.3% 1.1% 2.0% 2.4% 2.1% 1.5%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricYtterhogdalNacka Iliria
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack21%33%
Defense58%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ytterhogdal Nacka Iliria
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins17%8%13%67%42%54%
Draws8%8%8%8%17%13%
Loses75%83%79%25%42%33%

Form: Ytterhogdal: LLLLLLLLLDLLLWWLLLLLDLLW • Nacka Iliria: DWDWLLWWWWWLWLLWLWDWWLWL

League goals

Metric Ytterhogdal Nacka Iliria
HATHAT
GF total91120342559
GF avg0.80.90.82.82.12.5
GA total334982171936
GA avg2.84.13.41.41.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineYtterhogdalNacka Iliria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%92%92%67%
1.533%75%63%42%
2.50%67%42%21%
3.50%50%21%13%
4.50%25%8%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricYtterhogdalNacka Iliria
HATHAT
Clean sheets202448
Failed to score6612112

Penalties

MetricYtterhogdalNacka Iliria
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricYtterhogdalNacka Iliria
Wins25
Draws11
Losses92

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-210-00-5
Biggest losses0-510-02-46-4
Goals For22105
Goals Against51046

Model comparison

MetricYtterhogdalNacka Iliria
Form31%69%
Att38%62%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution14%86%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total31.0%69.0%

Advice: Winner : Nacka Iliria

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home9.50 @ 1xBet
Draw6.55 @ Pinnacle
Away1.24 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.25 @ Betano
Under 2.54.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Bet365
No2.62 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ytterhogdal = 0.65 (league 1.97), Nacka Iliria = 3.55 (league 1.66)

Nacka Iliria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ytterhogdal 0 1.5% 5.3% 9.5% 11.2% 9.9% 7.0%
1 1.0% 3.5% 6.1% 7.3% 6.4% 4.6%
2 0.3% 1.1% 2.0% 2.4% 2.1% 1.5%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.4% · Draw 7.6% · Away win 74.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1