Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 12:00 • Saltsjöbadens IP 1
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.27 (league 1.97) 1.35 (league 1.66)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.2% 13.3% 12.0%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.8%
2 - 1
7.1%
4 - 1
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
Gute
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nacka Iliria 0 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.2% 4.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.3% 7.1% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.7% 7.8% 5.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
4 4.7% 6.3% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
5 3.1% 4.1% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNacka IliriaGute
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack53%21%
Defense42%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nacka Iliria Gute
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins67%38%52%23%17%20%
Draws8%15%12%31%0%16%
Loses25%46%36%46%83%64%

Form: Nacka Iliria: DWDWLLWWWWWLWLLWLWDWWLWLL • Gute: DWWLLLLLLDWLDLDLWLLLLLLWL

League goals

Metric Nacka Iliria Gute
HATHAT
GF total342963161935
GF avg2.82.22.51.21.61.4
GA total172441252853
GA avg1.41.81.61.92.32.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNacka IliriaGute
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%68%76%96%
1.564%44%36%76%
2.544%24%20%28%
3.524%16%8%8%
4.58%8%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNacka IliriaGute
HATHAT
Clean sheets448011
Failed to score112426

Penalties

MetricNacka IliriaGute
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricNacka IliriaGute
Wins52
Draws11
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins10-00-54-20-3
Biggest losses2-46-40-53-1
Goals For10544
Goals Against4654

Model comparison

MetricNacka IliriaGute
Form67%33%
Att71%29%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total63.5%36.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Nacka Iliria or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.45 @ Marathonbet
Away4.94 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.27 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.53.14 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.36 @ Marathonbet
No2.84 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nacka Iliria = 3.27 (league 1.97), Gute = 1.35 (league 1.66)

Gute
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nacka Iliria 0 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.2% 4.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.3% 7.1% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.7% 7.8% 5.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
4 4.7% 6.3% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
5 3.1% 4.1% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.2% · Draw 13.3% · Away win 12.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1