Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 12:00 • Påskbergsvallen
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 2.08) 1.27 (league 1.74)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.4% 23.3% 27.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Bergdalens
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varbergs GIF 0 4.8% 6.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.5% 10.7% 6.8% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.5% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.5% 5.6% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVarbergs GIFBergdalens
Played55
Form7%0%
Attack18%23%
Defense45%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.423 | 4.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

82%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Varbergs GIF Bergdalens
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins25%17%21%8%8%8%
Draws0%8%4%8%17%13%
Loses75%75%75%83%75%79%

Form: Varbergs GIF: WWLLLLLWLLLWWLLLLLLLLLDL • Bergdalens: LLLDDWLLWLLLDLLLLLLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Varbergs GIF Bergdalens
HATHAT
GF total111223131225
GF avg0.91.01.01.11.01.0
GA total262955444993
GA avg2.22.42.33.74.13.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVarbergs GIFBergdalens
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%88%63%96%
1.525%63%29%92%
2.513%38%13%71%
3.54%17%0%63%
4.54%13%0%42%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVarbergs GIFBergdalens
HATHAT
Clean sheets213011
Failed to score6612459

Penalties

MetricVarbergs GIFBergdalens
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricVarbergs GIFBergdalens
Wins21
Draws12
Losses93

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-53-20-1
Biggest losses0-76-00-68-2
Goals For3533
Goals Against7668

Model comparison

MetricVarbergs GIFBergdalens
Form100%0%
Att44%56%
Def66%34%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h100%0%
Goals88%13%
Total64.3%36.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Varbergs GIF or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.25 @ 10Bet
Draw6.49 @ Pinnacle
Away9.70 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.25 @ Betano
Under 2.54.50 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.47 @ Betano
No2.63 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Varbergs GIF = 1.78 (league 2.08), Bergdalens = 1.27 (league 1.74)

Bergdalens
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varbergs GIF 0 4.8% 6.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.5% 10.7% 6.8% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.5% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.5% 5.6% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.4% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 27.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1