MLS Next Pro — USA
Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 19:00 • York Lions Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.45 (league 1.53) 2.07 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.4% 19.1% 31.7%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.0%
2 - 1
6.7%
3 - 2
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
New York City II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toronto II 0 1.1% 2.2% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
1 2.7% 5.5% 5.7% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
2 3.3% 6.7% 7.0% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0%
3 2.7% 5.5% 5.7% 4.0% 2.1% 0.9%
4 1.6% 3.4% 3.5% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5%
5 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricToronto IINew York City II
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack73%100%
Defense36%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Toronto II New York City II
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins36%42%39%50%18%35%
Draws27%17%22%25%27%26%
Loses36%42%39%25%55%39%

Form: Toronto II: WLLWDWDLLLWDWWLDLLWWLWD • New York City II: DWWLLDLLLWWDLWDDWLLWDLW

League goals

Metric Toronto II New York City II
HATHAT
GF total171128242044
GF avg1.50.91.22.01.81.9
GA total162036182846
GA avg1.51.71.61.52.52.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineToronto IINew York City II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%74%87%87%
1.539%43%65%65%
2.54%26%26%26%
3.50%9%9%17%
4.50%4%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricToronto IINew York City II
HATHAT
Clean sheets426303
Failed to score055213

Penalties

MetricToronto IINew York City II
Scored (total | %)9 | 60.00%15 | 88.24%
Missed (total | %)6 | 40.00%2 | 11.76%
Total1517

Streaks

MetricToronto IINew York City II
Wins22
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-25-21-4
Biggest losses1-35-01-45-0
Goals For3254
Goals Against3545

Model comparison

MetricToronto IINew York City II
Form59%41%
Att42%58%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%62%
Total46.3%53.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or New York City II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.30 @ Pinnacle
Away3.38 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.75 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.41 @ Marathonbet
No2.70 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Toronto II = 2.45 (league 1.53), New York City II = 2.07 (league 1.30)

New York City II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toronto II 0 1.1% 2.2% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
1 2.7% 5.5% 5.7% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
2 3.3% 6.7% 7.0% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0%
3 2.7% 5.5% 5.7% 4.0% 2.1% 0.9%
4 1.6% 3.4% 3.5% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5%
5 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.4% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 31.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1