Mon, Sep 22 2025 • 02:00 • William Rolland Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.12 (league 1.53) 2.07 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.6% 20.2% 37.2%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.3%
2 - 1
7.0%
1 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
The Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ventura County 0 1.5% 3.1% 3.3% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5%
1 3.2% 6.6% 6.9% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0%
2 3.4% 7.0% 7.3% 5.0% 2.6% 1.1%
3 2.4% 5.0% 5.1% 3.6% 1.8% 0.8%
4 1.3% 2.6% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
5 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVentura CountyThe Town
Played55
Form7%33%
Attack27%27%
Defense33%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ventura County The Town
HATHAT
Played121325111324
Wins33%46%40%73%31%50%
Draws25%23%24%27%23%25%
Loses42%31%36%0%46%25%

Form: Ventura County: WLWWWLWLWLWDWWDLDDWDLLLDL • The Town: LDLLWWWDWWLDDWWWWWWWDLDL

League goals

Metric Ventura County The Town
HATHAT
GF total212546331952
GF avg1.81.91.83.01.52.2
GA total21234492332
GA avg1.81.81.80.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVentura CountyThe Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%88%83%71%
1.552%56%54%38%
2.528%24%42%21%
3.54%8%29%4%
4.54%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVentura CountyThe Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets123437
Failed to score202134

Penalties

MetricVentura CountyThe Town
Scored (total | %)9 | 81.82%11 | 73.33%
Missed (total | %)2 | 18.18%4 | 26.67%
Total1115

Streaks

MetricVentura CountyThe Town
Wins37
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-14-65-00-3
Biggest losses2-34-13-1
Goals For3654
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricVentura CountyThe Town
Form17%83%
Att50%50%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h38%62%
Goals35%65%
Total37.8%62.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or The Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ Unibet
Draw3.78 @ Marathonbet
Away2.17 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.40 @ William Hill
No2.89 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.43 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.71 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ventura County = 2.12 (league 1.53), The Town = 2.07 (league 1.30)

The Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ventura County 0 1.5% 3.1% 3.3% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5%
1 3.2% 6.6% 6.9% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0%
2 3.4% 7.0% 7.3% 5.0% 2.6% 1.1%
3 2.4% 5.0% 5.1% 3.6% 1.8% 0.8%
4 1.3% 2.6% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
5 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.6% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 37.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1