MLS Next Pro — USA
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 17:00 • Children's Mercy Victory Field
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.53) 4.10 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.7% 8.1% 63.1%
best score tips
1 - 4
7.1%
1 - 3
6.9%
0 - 4
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Ventura County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting KC II 0 0.5% 2.1% 4.3% 5.9% 6.0% 4.9%
1 0.6% 2.5% 5.1% 6.9% 7.1% 5.8%
2 0.4% 1.5% 3.0% 4.1% 4.2% 3.4%
3 0.1% 0.6% 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.3%
4 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting KC IIVentura County
Played55
Form33%7%
Attack32%14%
Defense55%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting KC II Ventura County
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins8%15%12%31%46%38%
Draws15%31%23%23%23%23%
Loses77%54%65%46%31%38%

Form: Sporting KC II: LLLDLLLDDLLDLLLLWWLLLLLWDD • Ventura County: WLWWWLWLWLWDWWDLDDWDLLLDLL

League goals

Metric Sporting KC II Ventura County
HATHAT
GF total131528212546
GF avg1.01.21.11.61.91.8
GA total362662252348
GA avg2.82.02.41.91.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting KC IIVentura County
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%92%88%88%
1.531%69%50%58%
2.512%58%27%27%
3.50%19%4%12%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting KC IIVentura County
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score459303

Penalties

MetricSporting KC IIVentura County
Scored (total | %)18 | 75.00%9 | 81.82%
Missed (total | %)6 | 25.00%2 | 18.18%
Total2411

Streaks

MetricSporting KC IIVentura County
Wins23
Draws22
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-33-14-6
Biggest losses0-43-00-44-1
Goals For2336
Goals Against4344

Model comparison

MetricSporting KC IIVentura County
Form83%17%
Att70%30%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h62%38%
Goals59%41%
Total57.7%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : Sporting KC II or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.36 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.15 @ Pinnacle
Away1.88 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.64 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.47 @ Pinnacle
No2.67 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sporting KC II = 1.18 (league 1.53), Ventura County = 4.10 (league 1.30)

Ventura County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting KC II 0 0.5% 2.1% 4.3% 5.9% 6.0% 4.9%
1 0.6% 2.5% 5.1% 6.9% 7.1% 5.8%
2 0.4% 1.5% 3.0% 4.1% 4.2% 3.4%
3 0.1% 0.6% 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.3%
4 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.7% · Draw 8.1% · Away win 63.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1