Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 18:00 • SeatGeek Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.10 (league 1.53) 1.57 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.7% 10.0% 8.9%
best score tips
4 - 1
6.4%
3 - 1
6.2%
5 - 1
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
Atlanta United II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chicago Fire II 0 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.4% 2.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 2.9% 4.6% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.0% 6.2% 4.9% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
4 4.1% 6.4% 5.0% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
5 3.3% 5.2% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChicago Fire IIAtlanta United II
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack45%45%
Defense36%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chicago Fire II Atlanta United II
HATHAT
Played131326131225
Wins62%31%46%46%17%32%
Draws15%31%23%31%33%32%
Loses23%38%31%23%50%36%

Form: Chicago Fire II: LWWLLLWWDWDDWDWLWWWDWLDWLL • Atlanta United II: LDDWLDDDDWLLLDWDLLWWLWWLW

League goals

Metric Chicago Fire II Atlanta United II
HATHAT
GF total432164241438
GF avg3.31.62.51.81.21.5
GA total222850162339
GA avg1.72.21.91.21.91.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChicago Fire IIAtlanta United II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%85%76%76%
1.569%50%52%52%
2.535%27%20%16%
3.519%19%4%8%
4.515%12%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChicago Fire IIAtlanta United II
HATHAT
Clean sheets314426
Failed to score033336

Penalties

MetricChicago Fire IIAtlanta United II
Scored (total | %)7 | 77.78%22 | 75.86%
Missed (total | %)2 | 22.22%7 | 24.14%
Total929

Streaks

MetricChicago Fire IIAtlanta United II
Wins32
Draws24
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins9-21-34-11-3
Biggest losses1-45-02-35-1
Goals For9343
Goals Against5535

Model comparison

MetricChicago Fire IIAtlanta United II
Form31%69%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h67%33%
Goals57%43%
Total51.8%48.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Chicago Fire II or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.99 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.10 @ Marathonbet
Away3.30 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.27 @ Unibet
No3.54 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Chicago Fire II = 4.10 (league 1.53), Atlanta United II = 1.57 (league 1.30)

Atlanta United II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chicago Fire II 0 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.4% 2.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 2.9% 4.6% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.0% 6.2% 4.9% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
4 4.1% 6.4% 5.0% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
5 3.3% 5.2% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.7% · Draw 10.0% · Away win 8.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1