Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 17:00 • Finley Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.53) 1.38 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.8% 23.4% 30.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 0
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Atlanta United II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chattanooga 0 4.5% 6.2% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.7% 10.7% 7.4% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.6% 9.2% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.8% 5.3% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.3% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChattanoogaAtlanta United II
Played55
Form80%60%
Attack54%77%
Defense77%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chattanooga Atlanta United II
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins54%71%63%50%31%41%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses46%29%37%50%69%59%

Form: Chattanooga: WWWWWWLLWWWLWLLLLWLLWWWWLWW • Atlanta United II: LLLWLWLWLWLLLLWLLLWWLWWLWWL

League goals

Metric Chattanooga Atlanta United II
HATHAT
GF total162945252045
GF avg1.22.11.71.81.51.7
GA total152439202848
GA avg1.21.71.41.42.21.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChattanoogaAtlanta United II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%74%74%85%
1.548%41%52%56%
2.526%19%30%26%
3.511%7%7%7%
4.50%4%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChattanoogaAtlanta United II
HATHAT
Clean sheets437314
Failed to score415437

Penalties

MetricChattanoogaAtlanta United II
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricChattanoogaAtlanta United II
Wins62
Draws00
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-44-12-5
Biggest losses1-35-22-35-1
Goals For4445
Goals Against3535

Model comparison

MetricChattanoogaAtlanta United II
Form57%43%
Att41%59%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total53.8%46.2%

Advice: Double chance : Chattanooga or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ Unibet
Away3.08 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.35 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ William Hill
No2.46 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chattanooga = 1.73 (league 1.53), Atlanta United II = 1.38 (league 1.30)

Atlanta United II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chattanooga 0 4.5% 6.2% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.7% 10.7% 7.4% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.6% 9.2% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.8% 5.3% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.3% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.8% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 30.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1