Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 17:00 • Historic Crew Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.16 (league 1.53) 1.80 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.4% 20.5% 31.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.0%
1 - 1
7.4%
2 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Chicago Fire II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Columbus Crew II 0 1.9% 3.4% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
1 4.1% 7.4% 6.7% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6%
2 4.5% 8.0% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.2% 5.8% 5.2% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.7% 3.1% 2.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricColumbus Crew IIChicago Fire II
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack92%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 318 | 3.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Columbus Crew II Chicago Fire II
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins46%0%22%64%54%59%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses54%100%78%36%46%41%

Form: Columbus Crew II: LLLLLWLWLLWLWLLLLLLLWLLWLLL • Chicago Fire II: LWWLLLWWLWLWWWWLWWWWWLWWLLL

League goals

Metric Columbus Crew II Chicago Fire II
HATHAT
GF total191938462470
GF avg1.51.41.43.31.82.6
GA total174865282957
GA avg1.33.42.42.02.22.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineColumbus Crew IIChicago Fire II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%85%89%85%
1.537%70%78%52%
2.515%44%37%37%
3.57%19%22%22%
4.50%11%15%15%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricColumbus Crew IIChicago Fire II
HATHAT
Clean sheets404314
Failed to score145033

Penalties

MetricColumbus Crew IIChicago Fire II
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total16

Streaks

MetricColumbus Crew IIChicago Fire II
Wins15
Draws00
Losses73

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-09-21-3
Biggest losses1-36-12-55-0
Goals For4494
Goals Against3755

Model comparison

MetricColumbus Crew IIChicago Fire II
Form33%67%
Att48%52%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h29%71%
Goals25%75%
Total40.5%59.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Chicago Fire II and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.25 @ Pinnacle
Away2.60 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.42 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.29 @ Pinnacle
No3.48 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Columbus Crew II = 2.16 (league 1.53), Chicago Fire II = 1.80 (league 1.30)

Chicago Fire II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Columbus Crew II 0 1.9% 3.4% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
1 4.1% 7.4% 6.7% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6%
2 4.5% 8.0% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.2% 5.8% 5.2% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.7% 3.1% 2.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.4% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 31.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1