Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 17:00 • Subaru Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
5.12 (league 1.53) 2.00 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.9% 7.6% 7.0%
best score tips
5 - 1
4.7%
5 - 2
4.7%
4 - 1
4.6%
Score & goals probability table
New York City II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Philadelphia Union II 0 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
1 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.1% 2.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
3 1.8% 3.6% 3.6% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5%
4 2.3% 4.6% 4.6% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6%
5 2.4% 4.7% 4.7% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPhiladelphia Union IINew York City II
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack100%69%
Defense38%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

84%
FT probability

3.5+

60%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Philadelphia Union II New York City II
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins77%64%70%50%31%41%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses23%36%30%50%69%59%

Form: Philadelphia Union II: LWLWWWWLWWWWWWWWWLWLLLLWWWW • New York City II: WWWLLLLLLWWWLWLLWLLWLLWLWLL

League goals

Metric Philadelphia Union II New York City II
HATHAT
GF total362965262652
GF avg2.82.12.41.92.01.9
GA total171734243761
GA avg1.31.21.31.72.82.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePhiladelphia Union IINew York City II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%74%81%89%
1.574%33%59%70%
2.544%19%33%41%
3.526%0%11%22%
4.511%0%7%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPhiladelphia Union IINew York City II
HATHAT
Clean sheets437303
Failed to score134325

Penalties

MetricPhiladelphia Union IINew York City II
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricPhiladelphia Union IINew York City II
Wins93
Draws00
Losses46

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-45-21-4
Biggest losses1-32-01-45-0
Goals For5455
Goals Against3345

Model comparison

MetricPhiladelphia Union IINew York City II
Form67%33%
Att59%41%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total67.3%32.7%

Advice: Combo Winner : Philadelphia Union II and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Betano
Draw4.91 @ Pinnacle
Away6.48 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Unibet
No2.50 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Philadelphia Union II = 5.12 (league 1.53), New York City II = 2.00 (league 1.30)

New York City II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Philadelphia Union II 0 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
1 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.1% 2.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
3 1.8% 3.6% 3.6% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5%
4 2.3% 4.6% 4.6% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6%
5 2.4% 4.7% 4.7% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.9% · Draw 7.6% · Away win 7.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1