Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 20:00 • Starfire Sports
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.18 (league 1.53) 2.49 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.9% 16.3% 26.8%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.7%
2 - 2
5.4%
3 - 3
4.8%
Score & goals probability table
Houston Dynamo FC II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tacoma Defiance 0 0.3% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
1 1.1% 2.7% 3.4% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9%
2 1.7% 4.3% 5.4% 4.5% 2.8% 1.4%
3 1.8% 4.6% 5.7% 4.8% 3.0% 1.5%
4 1.5% 3.7% 4.6% 3.8% 2.3% 1.2%
5 0.9% 2.3% 2.9% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTacoma DefianceHouston Dynamo FC II
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack46%62%
Defense23%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

82%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

89%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tacoma Defiance Houston Dynamo FC II
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins46%36%41%64%31%48%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses54%64%59%36%69%52%

Form: Tacoma Defiance: LWWLWWWLLLWLWWLLLLWLLLLLWLW • Houston Dynamo FC II: WWLLWWWLWLWWLLLLWLLLLWLWWLW

League goals

Metric Tacoma Defiance Houston Dynamo FC II
HATHAT
GF total352459271643
GF avg2.71.72.21.91.21.6
GA total353368212344
GA avg2.72.42.51.51.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTacoma DefianceHouston Dynamo FC II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%96%81%85%
1.559%74%44%44%
2.533%44%26%22%
3.526%19%4%11%
4.57%11%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTacoma DefianceHouston Dynamo FC II
HATHAT
Clean sheets011314
Failed to score022235

Penalties

MetricTacoma DefianceHouston Dynamo FC II
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricTacoma DefianceHouston Dynamo FC II
Wins33
Draws00
Losses54

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-45-11-3
Biggest losses1-45-00-44-1
Goals For5453
Goals Against6644

Model comparison

MetricTacoma DefianceHouston Dynamo FC II
Form40%60%
Att43%57%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total48.4%51.8%

Advice: Double chance : Tacoma Defiance or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.02 @ Pinnacle
Away3.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.33 @ William Hill
No3.08 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.05 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tacoma Defiance = 3.18 (league 1.53), Houston Dynamo FC II = 2.49 (league 1.30)

Houston Dynamo FC II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tacoma Defiance 0 0.3% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
1 1.1% 2.7% 3.4% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9%
2 1.7% 4.3% 5.4% 4.5% 2.8% 1.4%
3 1.8% 4.6% 5.7% 4.8% 3.0% 1.5%
4 1.5% 3.7% 4.6% 3.8% 2.3% 1.2%
5 0.9% 2.3% 2.9% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.9% · Draw 16.3% · Away win 26.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1