Tue, Dec 30 2025 • 16:00 • Complexe Sportif de Fès
Match Finished
1 - 3
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.33) 2.25 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.8% 19.4% 59.9%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.7%
1 - 1
8.6%
0 - 2
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Nigeria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Uganda 0 3.4% 7.6% 8.6% 6.5% 3.6% 1.6%
1 3.8% 8.6% 9.7% 7.3% 4.1% 1.9%
2 2.2% 4.9% 5.5% 4.1% 2.3% 1.1%
3 0.8% 1.8% 2.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUgandaNigeria
Played22
Form17%100%
Attack20%50%
Defense60%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 15 | 2.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 23 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Uganda Nigeria
HATHAT
Played112202
Wins0%0%0%100%—100%
Draws100%0%50%0%—0%
Loses0%100%50%0%—0%

Form: Uganda: LD • Nigeria: WW

League goals

Metric Uganda Nigeria
HATHAT
GF total112505
GF avg1.01.01.02.50.02.5
GA total134303
GA avg1.03.02.01.50.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUgandaNigeria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.50%50%100%50%
2.50%50%50%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUgandaNigeria
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricUgandaNigeria
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricUgandaNigeria
Wins02
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-2—
Biggest losses—3-1——
Goals For1130
Goals Against1320

Model comparison

MetricUgandaNigeria
Form14%86%
Att29%71%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total34.0%66.0%

Advice: Winner : Nigeria

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.16 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.19 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.70 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Uganda = 1.13 (league 1.33), Nigeria = 2.25 (league 1.11)

Nigeria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Uganda 0 3.4% 7.6% 8.6% 6.5% 3.6% 1.6%
1 3.8% 8.6% 9.7% 7.3% 4.1% 1.9%
2 2.2% 4.9% 5.5% 4.1% 2.3% 1.1%
3 0.8% 1.8% 2.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.8% · Draw 19.4% · Away win 59.9%

vtt 14 , vtd1