Liga 3 — Georgia
Thu, Oct 2 2025 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.85) 1.42 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.0% 24.2% 33.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 2
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Bakhmaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotivi Tbilisi II 0 4.9% 7.0% 5.0% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.8% 11.1% 7.9% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.2% 8.8% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.3% 4.7% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.3% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLokomotivi Tbilisi IIBakhmaro
Played55
Form7%27%
Attack59%18%
Defense0%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)17 | 3.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lokomotivi Tbilisi II Bakhmaro
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins20%30%25%0%20%10%
Draws10%0%5%20%10%15%
Loses70%70%70%80%70%75%

Form: Lokomotivi Tbilisi II: LLWLWWLWLLLWLLLDLLLL • Bakhmaro: LLLDWLLLLLLDLLLLLDWL

League goals

Metric Lokomotivi Tbilisi II Bakhmaro
HATHAT
GF total1415293811
GF avg1.41.51.50.30.80.6
GA total242650282149
GA avg2.42.62.52.82.12.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLokomotivi Tbilisi IIBakhmaro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%85%40%85%
1.550%70%10%50%
2.55%50%5%40%
3.50%30%0%40%
4.50%10%0%25%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLokomotivi Tbilisi IIBakhmaro
HATHAT
Clean sheets123123
Failed to score2028412

Penalties

MetricLokomotivi Tbilisi IIBakhmaro
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricLokomotivi Tbilisi IIBakhmaro
Wins21
Draws11
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-2—0-3
Biggest losses2-65-20-55-0
Goals For3223
Goals Against6565

Model comparison

MetricLokomotivi Tbilisi IIBakhmaro
Form20%80%
Att77%23%
Def26%74%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h75%25%
Goals67%33%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : Lokomotivi Tbilisi II or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lokomotivi Tbilisi II = 1.59 (league 1.85), Bakhmaro = 1.42 (league 1.35)

Bakhmaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotivi Tbilisi II 0 4.9% 7.0% 5.0% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.8% 11.1% 7.9% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.2% 8.8% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.3% 4.7% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.3% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.0% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 33.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1