Liga 3 — Georgia
Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.78) 1.37 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.7% 25.7% 37.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 1
9.0%
1 - 0
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Aragvi Dusheti
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gori 0 6.6% 9.0% 6.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.9% 12.2% 8.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.0% 8.3% 5.6% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.7% 3.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGoriAragvi Dusheti
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack38%38%
Defense85%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gori Aragvi Dusheti
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins80%40%60%60%50%55%
Draws10%40%25%30%30%30%
Loses10%20%15%10%20%15%

Form: Gori: LWWLDLWWWWWWDWWDWDWD • Aragvi Dusheti: LDDWDWWWWDLWWWWLDWWD

League goals

Metric Gori Aragvi Dusheti
HATHAT
GF total221133331851
GF avg2.21.11.73.31.82.6
GA total101424121123
GA avg1.01.41.21.21.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGoriAragvi Dusheti
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%70%85%55%
1.545%30%55%35%
2.525%5%40%15%
3.510%5%30%10%
4.55%5%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGoriAragvi Dusheti
HATHAT
Clean sheets246369
Failed to score145033

Penalties

MetricGoriAragvi Dusheti
Scored (total | %)2 | 66.67%5 | 83.33%
Missed (total | %)1 | 33.33%1 | 16.67%
Total36

Streaks

MetricGoriAragvi Dusheti
Wins64
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-12-37-10-5
Biggest losses0-26-02-44-1
Goals For6376
Goals Against2644

Model comparison

MetricGoriAragvi Dusheti
Form53%47%
Att50%50%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h50%50%
Goals25%75%
Total50.5%49.5%

Advice: Double chance : Gori or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gori = 1.36 (league 1.78), Aragvi Dusheti = 1.37 (league 1.32)

Aragvi Dusheti
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gori 0 6.6% 9.0% 6.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.9% 12.2% 8.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.0% 8.3% 5.6% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.7% 3.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.7% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 37.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1