Liga 3 — Georgia
Thu, Oct 2 2025 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.78) 1.91 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.7% 21.3% 62.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.9%
0 - 2
12.3%
1 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Shturmi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Irao 0 6.7% 12.9% 12.3% 7.9% 3.8% 1.4%
1 5.3% 10.1% 9.7% 6.2% 3.0% 1.1%
2 2.1% 4.0% 3.8% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4%
3 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIraoShturmi
Played55
Form73%73%
Attack59%35%
Defense71%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Irao Shturmi
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins40%40%40%90%50%70%
Draws40%40%40%10%40%25%
Loses20%20%20%0%10%5%

Form: Irao: WWLWDLDDWLLDWDDWWDWD • Shturmi: WDWWWWLWWWDWWWDWDDWW

League goals

Metric Irao Shturmi
HATHAT
GF total202646231841
GF avg2.02.62.32.31.82.1
GA total1412265712
GA avg1.41.21.30.50.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIraoShturmi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.595%60%85%45%
1.575%50%55%10%
2.535%15%30%5%
3.510%5%15%0%
4.510%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIraoShturmi
HATHAT
Clean sheets3587411
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricIraoShturmi
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricIraoShturmi
Wins24
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-65-01-7
Biggest losses2-34-3—2-1
Goals For3657
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricIraoShturmi
Form50%50%
Att63%38%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total40.8%59.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Shturmi

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.08 @ 1xBet
Draw3.68 @ Marathonbet
Away2.27 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.38 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Betfair
No2.56 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Irao = 0.79 (league 1.78), Shturmi = 1.91 (league 1.32)

Shturmi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Irao 0 6.7% 12.9% 12.3% 7.9% 3.8% 1.4%
1 5.3% 10.1% 9.7% 6.2% 3.0% 1.1%
2 2.1% 4.0% 3.8% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4%
3 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.7% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 62.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1