Liga 3 — Georgia
Thu, Oct 9 2025 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.44 (league 1.83) 2.35 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.4% 14.4% 77.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
16.9%
0 - 1
14.4%
0 - 3
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Gardabani
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bakhmaro 0 6.1% 14.4% 16.9% 13.2% 7.8% 3.6%
1 2.7% 6.4% 7.5% 5.9% 3.4% 1.6%
2 0.6% 1.4% 1.7% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBakhmaroGardabani
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack27%64%
Defense55%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bakhmaro Gardabani
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins0%18%10%55%10%33%
Draws20%18%19%9%30%19%
Loses80%64%71%36%60%48%

Form: Bakhmaro: LLLDWLLLLLLDLLLLLDWLD • Gardabani: LLLLLWWLWDDDWDLWLWWLL

League goals

Metric Bakhmaro Gardabani
HATHAT
GF total3811191130
GF avg0.30.70.51.71.11.4
GA total282149132740
GA avg2.81.92.31.22.71.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBakhmaroGardabani
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.538%81%67%86%
1.510%48%48%57%
2.55%38%10%24%
3.50%38%10%19%
4.50%24%10%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBakhmaroGardabani
HATHAT
Clean sheets134303
Failed to score8513347

Penalties

MetricBakhmaroGardabani
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 80.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 20.00%
Total25

Streaks

MetricBakhmaroGardabani
Wins12
Draws13
Losses65

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-35-11-2
Biggest losses0-55-01-35-0
Goals For2352
Goals Against6535

Model comparison

MetricBakhmaroGardabani
Form45%55%
Att30%70%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution17%83%
H2h36%64%
Goals36%64%
Total39.2%60.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Gardabani

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bakhmaro = 0.44 (league 1.83), Gardabani = 2.35 (league 1.31)

Gardabani
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bakhmaro 0 6.1% 14.4% 16.9% 13.2% 7.8% 3.6%
1 2.7% 6.4% 7.5% 5.9% 3.4% 1.6%
2 0.6% 1.4% 1.7% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.4% · Draw 14.4% · Away win 77.0%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1