Liga 3 — Georgia
Fri, Oct 10 2025 • 10:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished

Aragvi Dusheti

1 - 0

Merani Tbilisi

Expected Goals
2.96 (league 1.78) 0.91 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.7% 12.8% 8.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.1%
3 - 0
9.0%
2 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Merani Tbilisi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aragvi Dusheti 0 2.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.2% 5.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.1% 8.3% 3.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 9.0% 8.2% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 6.7% 6.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.0% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAragvi DushetiMerani Tbilisi
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack36%55%
Defense73%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aragvi Dusheti Merani Tbilisi
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins60%45%52%45%10%29%
Draws30%27%29%18%40%29%
Loses10%27%19%36%50%43%

Form: Aragvi Dusheti: LDDWDWWWWDLWWWWLDWWDL • Merani Tbilisi: WDDDWLLLLDWLLDWLWDLLW

League goals

Metric Aragvi Dusheti Merani Tbilisi
HATHAT
GF total331851201030
GF avg3.31.62.41.81.01.4
GA total121224211637
GA avg1.21.11.11.91.61.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAragvi DushetiMerani Tbilisi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%57%71%86%
1.552%33%38%62%
2.538%14%24%19%
3.529%10%10%10%
4.524%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAragvi DushetiMerani Tbilisi
HATHAT
Clean sheets369123
Failed to score044336

Penalties

MetricAragvi DushetiMerani Tbilisi
Scored (total | %)5 | 83.33%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 16.67%0 | 0%
Total64

Streaks

MetricAragvi DushetiMerani Tbilisi
Wins41
Draws23
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-10-54-20-1
Biggest losses2-44-11-42-0
Goals For7643
Goals Against4444

Model comparison

MetricAragvi DushetiMerani Tbilisi
Form53%47%
Att40%60%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total61.3%38.8%

Advice: Double chance : Aragvi Dusheti or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ William Hill
Draw4.25 @ Marathonbet
Away5.63 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ Marathonbet
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Aragvi Dusheti vs Merani Tbilisi

Expected goals (λ): Aragvi Dusheti = 2.96 (league 1.78), Merani Tbilisi = 0.91 (league 1.32)

Merani Tbilisi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aragvi Dusheti 0 2.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.2% 5.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.1% 8.3% 3.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 9.0% 8.2% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 6.7% 6.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.0% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.7% · Draw 12.8% · Away win 8.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1