Liga 3 — Georgia
Thu, Oct 16 2025 • 17:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.85) 0.31 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.7% 17.8% 5.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.3%
2 - 0
19.8%
3 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Bakhmaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varketili 0 10.4% 3.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.3% 6.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.8% 6.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.9% 4.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVarketiliBakhmaro
Played55
Form87%33%
Attack85%23%
Defense85%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Varketili Bakhmaro
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins55%64%59%0%18%9%
Draws36%0%18%18%18%18%
Loses9%36%23%82%64%73%

Form: Varketili: WDWWWLWWWLWLLWDDLWWWDW • Bakhmaro: LLLDWLLLLLLDLLLLLDWLDL

League goals

Metric Varketili Bakhmaro
HATHAT
GF total2124453811
GF avg1.92.22.00.30.70.5
GA total71623292150
GA avg0.61.51.02.61.92.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVarketiliBakhmaro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%55%36%82%
1.568%32%9%45%
2.536%14%5%36%
3.514%5%0%36%
4.55%0%0%23%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVarketiliBakhmaro
HATHAT
Clean sheets7310134
Failed to score3259514

Penalties

MetricVarketiliBakhmaro
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricVarketiliBakhmaro
Wins31
Draws21
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-6—0-3
Biggest losses1-34-20-55-0
Goals For4623
Goals Against3465

Model comparison

MetricVarketiliBakhmaro
Form72%28%
Att79%21%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h88%13%
Goals77%23%
Total78.8%21.3%

Advice: Winner : Varketili

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Varketili = 1.95 (league 1.85), Bakhmaro = 0.31 (league 1.35)

Bakhmaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varketili 0 10.4% 3.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.3% 6.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.8% 6.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.9% 4.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.7% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 5.0%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1