Thu, Oct 16 2025 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.78) 2.45 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.3% 14.8% 74.1%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.1%
0 - 1
11.5%
0 - 3
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Shturmi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merani Tbilisi 0 4.7% 11.5% 14.1% 11.5% 7.0% 3.4%
1 2.9% 7.0% 8.6% 7.0% 4.3% 2.1%
2 0.9% 2.1% 2.6% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMerani TbilisiShturmi
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack17%39%
Defense56%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Merani Tbilisi Shturmi
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins45%9%27%82%55%68%
Draws18%36%27%18%36%27%
Loses36%55%45%0%9%5%

Form: Merani Tbilisi: WDDDWLLLLDWLLDWLWDLLWL • Shturmi: WDWWWWLWWWDWWWDWDDWWWD

League goals

Metric Merani Tbilisi Shturmi
HATHAT
GF total201030251944
GF avg1.80.91.42.31.72.0
GA total2117387714
GA avg1.91.51.70.60.60.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMerani TbilisiShturmi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%86%86%45%
1.536%59%55%14%
2.523%18%27%5%
3.59%9%14%0%
4.50%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMerani TbilisiShturmi
HATHAT
Clean sheets1237512
Failed to score347123

Penalties

MetricMerani TbilisiShturmi
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricMerani TbilisiShturmi
Wins14
Draws32
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-15-01-7
Biggest losses1-42-02-1
Goals For4357
Goals Against4432

Model comparison

MetricMerani TbilisiShturmi
Form27%73%
Att30%70%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h0%100%
Goals43%57%
Total29.6%70.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Shturmi

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.44 @ 1xBet
Draw3.90 @ 1xBet
Away1.84 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.45 @ Betfair
No2.66 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Merani Tbilisi = 0.61 (league 1.78), Shturmi = 2.45 (league 1.32)

Shturmi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merani Tbilisi 0 4.7% 11.5% 14.1% 11.5% 7.0% 3.4%
1 2.9% 7.0% 8.6% 7.0% 4.3% 2.1%
2 0.9% 2.1% 2.6% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.3% · Draw 14.8% · Away win 74.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1