Liga 3 — Georgia
Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 10:00 • Tsentraluri Stadioni
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.52 (league 1.78) 1.34 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.3% 7.2% 5.2%
best score tips
4 - 1
6.6%
5 - 1
6.0%
3 - 1
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Lokomotivi Tbilisi II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aragvi Dusheti 0 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.3% 1.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
2 2.9% 3.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.4% 5.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 5.0% 6.6% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
5 4.5% 6.0% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAragvi DushetiLokomotivi Tbilisi II
Played55
Form67%13%
Attack50%44%
Defense67%39%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

80%
FT probability

3.5+

57%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aragvi Dusheti Lokomotivi Tbilisi II
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins64%50%57%17%27%22%
Draws27%25%26%17%9%13%
Loses9%25%17%67%64%65%

Form: Aragvi Dusheti: LDDWDWWWWDLWWWWLDWWDLWW • Lokomotivi Tbilisi II: LLWLWWLWLLLWLLLDLLLLDDL

League goals

Metric Aragvi Dusheti Lokomotivi Tbilisi II
HATHAT
GF total342357151833
GF avg3.11.92.51.31.61.4
GA total121527262955
GA avg1.11.31.22.22.62.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAragvi DushetiLokomotivi Tbilisi II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%57%87%83%
1.552%35%48%70%
2.539%17%9%48%
3.530%9%0%26%
4.526%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAragvi DushetiLokomotivi Tbilisi II
HATHAT
Clean sheets4610224
Failed to score044303

Penalties

MetricAragvi DushetiLokomotivi Tbilisi II
Scored (total | %)5 | 83.33%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 16.67%0 | 0%
Total63

Streaks

MetricAragvi DushetiLokomotivi Tbilisi II
Wins42
Draws22
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-10-53-10-2
Biggest losses2-44-12-65-2
Goals For7633
Goals Against4465

Model comparison

MetricAragvi DushetiLokomotivi Tbilisi II
Form83%17%
Att53%47%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total70.8%29.2%

Advice: Combo Winner : Aragvi Dusheti and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.17 @ Bet365
Draw7.00 @ Bet365
Away12.25 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ 1xBet
No1.73 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aragvi Dusheti = 4.52 (league 1.78), Lokomotivi Tbilisi II = 1.34 (league 1.32)

Lokomotivi Tbilisi II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aragvi Dusheti 0 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.3% 1.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
2 2.9% 3.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.4% 5.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 5.0% 6.6% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
5 4.5% 6.0% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.3% · Draw 7.2% · Away win 5.2%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1