Liga 3 — Georgia
Fri, Nov 7 2025 • 09:30 • Tsentraluri Stadioni
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.27 (league 1.85) 1.71 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.8% 20.1% 28.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.2%
1 - 1
7.3%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Varketili
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aragvi Dusheti 0 1.9% 3.2% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 4.2% 7.3% 6.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
2 4.8% 8.2% 7.0% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.6% 6.2% 5.3% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.1% 3.5% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAragvi DushetiVarketili
Played55
Form80%73%
Attack76%35%
Defense59%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aragvi Dusheti Varketili
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins67%54%60%62%58%60%
Draws25%23%24%31%8%20%
Loses8%23%16%8%33%20%

Form: Aragvi Dusheti: LDDWDWWWWDLWWWWLDWWDLWWWW • Varketili: WDWWWLWWWLWLLWDDLWWWDWWDW

League goals

Metric Aragvi Dusheti Varketili
HATHAT
GF total362864252550
GF avg3.02.22.61.92.12.0
GA total13173081725
GA avg1.11.31.20.61.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAragvi DushetiVarketili
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%60%80%56%
1.556%36%64%28%
2.540%16%36%12%
3.532%8%12%4%
4.528%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAragvi DushetiVarketili
HATHAT
Clean sheets46108311
Failed to score044325

Penalties

MetricAragvi DushetiVarketili
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total66

Streaks

MetricAragvi DushetiVarketili
Wins43
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-10-54-02-6
Biggest losses2-44-11-34-2
Goals For7646
Goals Against4434

Model comparison

MetricAragvi DushetiVarketili
Form52%48%
Att68%32%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Varketili

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aragvi Dusheti = 2.27 (league 1.85), Varketili = 1.71 (league 1.35)

Varketili
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aragvi Dusheti 0 1.9% 3.2% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 4.2% 7.3% 6.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
2 4.8% 8.2% 7.0% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.6% 6.2% 5.3% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.1% 3.5% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.8% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 28.5%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1