Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 10:00 •
Tsentraluri Stadioni
Expected Goals
3.17 (league 1.85)
0.53 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 77.5% | 8.7% | 3.5% |
best score tips
3 - 0
13.1%
2 - 0
12.4%
4 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Bakhmaro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aragvi Dusheti | 0 | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.4% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.1% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.4% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.6% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Aragvi Dusheti | Bakhmaro |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 0% |
| Attack | 74% | 16% |
| Defense | 58% | 26% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Aragvi Dusheti | Bakhmaro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 62% | 57% | 59% | 0% | 15% | 7% |
| Draws | 23% | 21% | 22% | 14% | 15% | 15% |
| Loses | 15% | 21% | 19% | 86% | 69% | 78% |
Form: Aragvi Dusheti: LDDWDWWWWDLWWWWLDWWDLWWWWLW • Bakhmaro: LLLDWLLLLLLDLLLLLDWLDLLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Aragvi Dusheti | Bakhmaro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 37 | 29 | 66 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 15 | 17 | 32 | 37 | 27 | 64 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 2.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Aragvi Dusheti | Bakhmaro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 59% | 37% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 37% | 11% | 52% |
| 2.5 | 37% | 15% | 4% | 37% |
| 3.5 | 30% | 7% | 0% | 37% |
| 4.5 | 26% | 0% | 0% | 22% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Aragvi Dusheti | Bakhmaro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
Penalties
| Metric | Aragvi Dusheti | Bakhmaro |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Aragvi Dusheti | Bakhmaro |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-1 | 0-5 | — | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 4-1 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 7 | 6 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Aragvi Dusheti | Bakhmaro |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 82% | 18% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 86% | 14% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 77.3% | 22.7% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Aragvi Dusheti and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Aragvi Dusheti = 3.17 (league 1.85), Bakhmaro = 0.53 (league 1.35)
| Bakhmaro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aragvi Dusheti | 0 | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.4% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.1% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.4% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.6% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.5% · Draw 8.7% · Away win 3.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1