Liga 3 — Georgia
Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 09:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.67 (league 1.85) 1.90 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.3% 18.2% 25.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.0%
2 - 2
6.7%
3 - 1
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
Lokomotivi Tbilisi II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merani Tbilisi 0 1.0% 2.0% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
1 2.8% 5.3% 5.0% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6%
2 3.7% 7.0% 6.7% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8%
3 3.3% 6.3% 5.9% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7%
4 2.2% 4.2% 4.0% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4%
5 1.2% 2.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMerani TbilisiLokomotivi Tbilisi II
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack22%39%
Defense39%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Merani Tbilisi Lokomotivi Tbilisi II
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins50%7%28%20%29%24%
Draws21%33%28%13%7%10%
Loses29%60%45%67%64%66%

Form: Merani Tbilisi: WDDDWLLLLDWLLDWLWDLLWLWDWLDLL • Lokomotivi Tbilisi II: LLWLWWLWLLLWLLLDLLLLDDLLLLWWL

League goals

Metric Merani Tbilisi Lokomotivi Tbilisi II
HATHAT
GF total271138182341
GF avg1.90.71.31.21.61.4
GA total232750313667
GA avg1.61.81.72.12.62.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMerani TbilisiLokomotivi Tbilisi II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%86%83%86%
1.534%55%45%69%
2.524%21%14%41%
3.57%10%0%24%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMerani TbilisiLokomotivi Tbilisi II
HATHAT
Clean sheets224224
Failed to score3710505

Penalties

MetricMerani TbilisiLokomotivi Tbilisi II
Scored (total | %)6 | 85.71%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 14.29%0 | 0%
Total73

Streaks

MetricMerani TbilisiLokomotivi Tbilisi II
Wins12
Draws32
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-13-11-3
Biggest losses1-44-02-65-2
Goals For4333
Goals Against4465

Model comparison

MetricMerani TbilisiLokomotivi Tbilisi II
Form40%60%
Att36%64%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h100%0%
Goals86%14%
Total53.6%46.4%

Advice: Double chance : Merani Tbilisi or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Merani Tbilisi = 2.67 (league 1.85), Lokomotivi Tbilisi II = 1.90 (league 1.35)

Lokomotivi Tbilisi II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merani Tbilisi 0 1.0% 2.0% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
1 2.8% 5.3% 5.0% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6%
2 3.7% 7.0% 6.7% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8%
3 3.3% 6.3% 5.9% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7%
4 2.2% 4.2% 4.0% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4%
5 1.2% 2.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.3% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 25.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1