Primera B — Chile
Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 21:30 • Estadio Carlos Dittborn
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.27) 1.13 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.1% 25.4% 27.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Antofagasta
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Marcos de Arica 0 7.0% 7.9% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.7% 12.1% 6.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.3% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.2% 4.7% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSan Marcos de AricaAntofagasta
Played55
Form33%73%
Attack38%85%
Defense38%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

4 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric San Marcos de Arica Antofagasta
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins45%55%50%45%27%36%
Draws27%0%14%36%36%36%
Loses27%45%36%18%36%27%

Form: San Marcos de Arica: LDWLWWWWWLWLWWWLLDLDLW • Antofagasta: DWLDLWDLDWLDWLWLDWDWDW

League goals

Metric San Marcos de Arica Antofagasta
HATHAT
GF total141630221032
GF avg1.31.51.42.00.91.5
GA total121830101626
GA avg1.11.61.40.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSan Marcos de AricaAntofagasta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%82%68%59%
1.545%32%45%32%
2.514%9%18%18%
3.50%9%9%9%
4.50%5%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSan Marcos de AricaAntofagasta
HATHAT
Clean sheets224549
Failed to score235257

Penalties

MetricSan Marcos de AricaAntofagasta
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total55

Streaks

MetricSan Marcos de AricaAntofagasta
Wins51
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-35-00-2
Biggest losses1-24-12-34-0
Goals For2352
Goals Against2534

Model comparison

MetricSan Marcos de AricaAntofagasta
Form31%69%
Att31%69%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total40.3%59.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Antofagasta

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ Betfair
Draw3.45 @ Superbet
Away3.80 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Unibet
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): San Marcos de Arica = 1.53 (league 1.27), Antofagasta = 1.13 (league 0.88)

Antofagasta
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Marcos de Arica 0 7.0% 7.9% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.7% 12.1% 6.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.3% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.2% 4.7% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.1% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 27.9%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1