Primera B — Chile
Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio Municipal de San Felipe
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.27) 0.62 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.4% 42.3% 30.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.6%
0 - 1
18.8%
1 - 0
17.4%
Score & goals probability table
Curico Unido
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union San Felipe 0 30.6% 18.8% 5.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.4% 10.7% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.9% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion San FelipeCurico Unido
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack40%20%
Defense0%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.41 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union San Felipe Curico Unido
HATHAT
Played121123121123
Wins42%9%26%25%18%22%
Draws8%36%22%33%45%39%
Loses50%55%52%42%36%39%

Form: Union San Felipe: DLLLDLDWLLLDLLWWWWDLWLL • Curico Unido: WDDDLWLDWLWLDLLWDLDDLLD

League goals

Metric Union San Felipe Curico Unido
HATHAT
GF total10112118725
GF avg0.81.00.91.50.61.1
GA total111829171027
GA avg0.91.61.31.40.91.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion San FelipeCurico Unido
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%74%65%70%
1.517%48%26%30%
2.59%4%9%17%
3.50%0%4%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion San FelipeCurico Unido
HATHAT
Clean sheets516257
Failed to score538268

Penalties

MetricUnion San FelipeCurico Unido
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricUnion San FelipeCurico Unido
Wins41
Draws13
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-01-2
Biggest losses0-23-02-32-0
Goals For3352
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricUnion San FelipeCurico Unido
Form57%43%
Att67%33%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h33%67%
Goals33%67%
Total46.5%53.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Curico Unido and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away4.02 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.41 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union San Felipe = 0.57 (league 1.27), Curico Unido = 0.62 (league 0.88)

Curico Unido
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union San Felipe 0 30.6% 18.8% 5.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.4% 10.7% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.9% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.4% · Draw 42.3% · Away win 30.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1