Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Bicentenario Lucio Fariña
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.26) 1.32 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.1% 27.5% 42.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
San Marcos de Arica
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Luis 0 9.2% 12.1% 8.0% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.8% 13.0% 8.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 5.3% 6.9% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.9% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSan LuisSan Marcos de Arica
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack67%50%
Defense50%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric San Luis San Marcos de Arica
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins33%38%36%46%50%48%
Draws42%23%32%31%8%20%
Loses25%38%32%23%42%32%

Form: San Luis: DDDWLWWDWWLLLDLWLDWLLDDWW • San Marcos de Arica: LDWLWWWWWLWLWWWLLDLDLWDDW

League goals

Metric San Luis San Marcos de Arica
HATHAT
GF total111627171633
GF avg0.91.21.11.31.31.3
GA total111829121830
GA avg0.91.41.20.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSan LuisSan Marcos de Arica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%76%72%72%
1.528%32%44%28%
2.58%8%16%8%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSan LuisSan Marcos de Arica
HATHAT
Clean sheets426437
Failed to score437347

Penalties

MetricSan LuisSan Marcos de Arica
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricSan LuisSan Marcos de Arica
Wins25
Draws32
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-33-01-3
Biggest losses0-23-01-24-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against2325

Model comparison

MetricSan LuisSan Marcos de Arica
Form50%50%
Att57%43%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h7%93%
Goals33%67%
Total39.5%60.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or San Marcos de Arica

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.34 @ 188Bet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away3.95 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): San Luis = 1.07 (league 1.26), San Marcos de Arica = 1.32 (league 0.89)

San Marcos de Arica
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Luis 0 9.2% 12.1% 8.0% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.8% 13.0% 8.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 5.3% 6.9% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.9% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.1% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 42.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1