Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 15:00 • Estadio Municipal de Recoleta
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.26) 0.74 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.8% 33.9% 27.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.4%
1 - 0
17.5%
0 - 1
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Deportes Copiapo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Recoleta 0 18.4% 13.7% 5.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.5% 13.0% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.3% 6.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRecoletaDeportes Copiapo
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack8%62%
Defense54%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Recoleta Deportes Copiapo
HATHAT
Played121325121325
Wins50%15%32%58%31%44%
Draws25%46%36%42%31%36%
Loses25%38%32%0%38%20%

Form: Recoleta: LWWWDLDWLLLWDDDWDLWWDDLDL • Deportes Copiapo: DDWWWLDWWLWWWLWLDDDLWDWDD

League goals

Metric Recoleta Deportes Copiapo
HATHAT
GF total1872524832
GF avg1.50.51.02.00.61.3
GA total13162961016
GA avg1.11.21.20.50.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRecoletaDeportes Copiapo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%64%72%52%
1.528%32%36%12%
2.58%16%20%0%
3.50%4%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRecoletaDeportes Copiapo
HATHAT
Clean sheets4597512
Failed to score279167

Penalties

MetricRecoletaDeportes Copiapo
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricRecoletaDeportes Copiapo
Wins33
Draws33
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-00-1
Biggest losses2-34-02-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against3422

Model comparison

MetricRecoletaDeportes Copiapo
Form25%75%
Att11%89%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h33%67%
Goals42%58%
Total35.3%64.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Deportes Copiapo and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.77 @ Betano
Draw3.10 @ Unibet
Away2.62 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.66 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Betfair
No1.85 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Recoleta = 0.95 (league 1.26), Deportes Copiapo = 0.74 (league 0.89)

Deportes Copiapo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Recoleta 0 18.4% 13.7% 5.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.5% 13.0% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.3% 6.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.8% · Draw 33.9% · Away win 27.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1