Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 20:30 • Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.37 (league 1.26) 0.73 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.6% 16.4% 9.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.6%
1 - 0
10.6%
3 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
San Marcos de Arica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportes Copiapo 0 4.5% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.6% 7.8% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.6% 9.2% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.0% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.9% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportes CopiapoSan Marcos de Arica
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack64%55%
Defense64%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportes Copiapo San Marcos de Arica
HATHAT
Played121426131326
Wins58%36%46%46%46%46%
Draws42%29%35%31%15%23%
Loses0%36%19%23%38%31%

Form: Deportes Copiapo: DDWWWLDWWLWWWLWLDDDLWDWDDW • San Marcos de Arica: LDWLWWWWWLWLWWWLLDLDLWDDWD

League goals

Metric Deportes Copiapo San Marcos de Arica
HATHAT
GF total24933171734
GF avg2.00.61.31.31.31.3
GA total61016121931
GA avg0.50.70.60.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportes CopiapoSan Marcos de Arica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%50%73%73%
1.535%12%42%27%
2.519%0%15%8%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportes CopiapoSan Marcos de Arica
HATHAT
Clean sheets7613437
Failed to score167347

Penalties

MetricDeportes CopiapoSan Marcos de Arica
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricDeportes CopiapoSan Marcos de Arica
Wins35
Draws32
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-13-01-3
Biggest losses2-01-24-1
Goals For3233
Goals Against2225

Model comparison

MetricDeportes CopiapoSan Marcos de Arica
Form50%50%
Att54%46%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h93%7%
Goals69%31%
Total62.7%37.3%

Advice: Double chance : Deportes Copiapo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.82 @ Betano
Draw3.58 @ Pinnacle
Away4.34 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ SBO
Under 2.51.73 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportes Copiapo = 2.37 (league 1.26), San Marcos de Arica = 0.73 (league 0.89)

San Marcos de Arica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportes Copiapo 0 4.5% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.6% 7.8% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.6% 9.2% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.0% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.9% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.6% · Draw 16.4% · Away win 9.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1