Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 15:30 • Estadio Municipal de San Felipe
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.26) 1.13 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.7% 26.6% 30.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
1 - 0
11.2%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union San Felipe 0 8.1% 9.1% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.2% 12.6% 7.1% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.8% 8.8% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.6% 4.1% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion San FelipeDeportes Santa Cruz
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack46%31%
Defense23%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union San Felipe Deportes Santa Cruz
HATHAT
Played131326141226
Wins46%8%27%29%17%23%
Draws8%31%19%29%33%31%
Loses46%62%54%43%50%46%

Form: Union San Felipe: DLLLDLDWLLLDLLWWWWDLWLLWLL • Deportes Santa Cruz: LLDWLLWLLDDDLWWDDDLLWWLLDL

League goals

Metric Union San Felipe Deportes Santa Cruz
HATHAT
GF total141327161228
GF avg1.11.01.01.11.01.1
GA total132235181937
GA avg1.01.71.31.31.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion San FelipeDeportes Santa Cruz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%77%65%77%
1.519%54%35%50%
2.512%4%8%15%
3.54%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion San FelipeDeportes Santa Cruz
HATHAT
Clean sheets516516
Failed to score538549

Penalties

MetricUnion San FelipeDeportes Santa Cruz
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricUnion San FelipeDeportes Santa Cruz
Wins42
Draws13
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-02-3
Biggest losses0-23-00-33-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricUnion San FelipeDeportes Santa Cruz
Form43%57%
Att60%40%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h75%25%
Goals75%25%
Total58.8%41.2%

Advice: Double chance : Union San Felipe or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ 10Bet
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away5.30 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Betfair
No1.88 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union San Felipe = 1.39 (league 1.26), Deportes Santa Cruz = 1.13 (league 0.89)

Deportes Santa Cruz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union San Felipe 0 8.1% 9.1% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.2% 12.6% 7.1% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.8% 8.8% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.6% 4.1% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.7% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 30.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1