Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 15:30 • Estadio Santiago Bueras
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.26) 0.79 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.4% 24.8% 18.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.6%
2 - 0
11.8%
1 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Santiago Morning
0 1 2 3 4 5
Magallanes 0 9.1% 7.1% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.6% 11.5% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.8% 9.3% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMagallanesSantiago Morning
Played55
Form67%13%
Attack73%27%
Defense82%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Magallanes Santiago Morning
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins38%15%27%23%31%27%
Draws31%31%31%38%23%31%
Loses31%54%42%38%46%42%

Form: Magallanes: WLLDWLDLWLDDLDLLLDDWLDWWWL • Santiago Morning: DWDLLWLLDLWDWDWWLWLDLLLLDD

League goals

Metric Magallanes Santiago Morning
HATHAT
GF total1692571320
GF avg1.20.71.00.51.00.8
GA total92029122234
GA avg0.71.51.10.91.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMagallanesSantiago Morning
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%54%54%65%
1.527%35%19%35%
2.515%12%4%15%
3.50%8%0%12%
4.50%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMagallanesSantiago Morning
HATHAT
Clean sheets8412459
Failed to score57128412

Penalties

MetricMagallanesSantiago Morning
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricMagallanesSantiago Morning
Wins32
Draws21
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-32-10-2
Biggest losses3-45-00-35-1
Goals For3323
Goals Against4535

Model comparison

MetricMagallanesSantiago Morning
Form83%17%
Att73%27%
Def85%15%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h85%15%
Goals75%25%
Total78.3%21.7%

Advice: Double chance : Magallanes or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ William Hill
Draw3.33 @ Pinnacle
Away4.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Unibet
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Magallanes = 1.61 (league 1.26), Santiago Morning = 0.79 (league 0.89)

Santiago Morning
0 1 2 3 4 5
Magallanes 0 9.1% 7.1% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.6% 11.5% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.8% 9.3% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.4% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 18.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1