Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 20:30 • Estadio Ester Roa
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.26) 0.90 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.3% 29.3% 27.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.6%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Curico Unido
0 1 2 3 4 5
Universidad de Concepcion 0 12.0% 10.8% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.6% 13.2% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.9% 8.0% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUniversidad de ConcepcionCurico Unido
Played55
Form87%27%
Attack67%50%
Defense83%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Universidad de Concepcion Curico Unido
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins54%54%54%23%23%23%
Draws8%23%15%31%38%35%
Loses38%23%31%46%38%42%

Form: Universidad de Concepcion: DWWLWLLLDWWWDWLLWLLWWWWWDW • Curico Unido: WDDDLWLDWLWLDLLWDLDDLLDLLW

League goals

Metric Universidad de Concepcion Curico Unido
HATHAT
GF total181533191130
GF avg1.41.21.31.50.81.2
GA total13821201434
GA avg1.00.60.81.51.11.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUniversidad de ConcepcionCurico Unido
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%65%69%69%
1.538%12%31%35%
2.512%4%8%23%
3.512%0%4%4%
4.54%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUniversidad de ConcepcionCurico Unido
HATHAT
Clean sheets459268
Failed to score4610268

Penalties

MetricUniversidad de ConcepcionCurico Unido
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricUniversidad de ConcepcionCurico Unido
Wins51
Draws13
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-43-00-2
Biggest losses0-31-01-34-2
Goals For5452
Goals Against3134

Model comparison

MetricUniversidad de ConcepcionCurico Unido
Form76%24%
Att57%43%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h93%7%
Goals69%31%
Total72.5%27.5%

Advice: Double chance : Universidad de Concepcion or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ Betano
Draw3.32 @ Marathonbet
Away4.66 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Universidad de Concepcion = 1.22 (league 1.26), Curico Unido = 0.90 (league 0.89)

Curico Unido
0 1 2 3 4 5
Universidad de Concepcion 0 12.0% 10.8% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.6% 13.2% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.9% 8.0% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.3% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 27.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1