Primera B — Chile
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 15:30 • Estadio Carlos Dittborn
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.26) 1.04 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.1% 23.6% 22.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
1 - 0
10.8%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Union San Felipe
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Marcos de Arica 0 6.2% 6.4% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.8% 11.2% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.8% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.5% 5.7% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSan Marcos de AricaUnion San Felipe
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack38%46%
Defense69%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric San Marcos de Arica Union San Felipe
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins46%43%44%43%8%26%
Draws31%14%22%14%31%22%
Loses23%43%33%43%62%52%

Form: San Marcos de Arica: LDWLWWWWWLWLWWWLLDLDLWDDWDL • Union San Felipe: DLLLDLDWLLLDLLWWWWDLWLLWLLD

League goals

Metric San Marcos de Arica Union San Felipe
HATHAT
GF total171835141327
GF avg1.31.31.31.01.01.0
GA total122234132235
GA avg0.91.61.30.91.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSan Marcos de AricaUnion San Felipe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%74%67%74%
1.541%30%19%52%
2.515%11%11%4%
3.50%7%4%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSan Marcos de AricaUnion San Felipe
HATHAT
Clean sheets437617
Failed to score347639

Penalties

MetricSan Marcos de AricaUnion San Felipe
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricSan Marcos de AricaUnion San Felipe
Wins54
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-01-3
Biggest losses1-24-10-23-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against2523

Model comparison

MetricSan Marcos de AricaUnion San Felipe
Form60%40%
Att45%55%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h40%60%
Goals38%62%
Total52.3%47.7%

Advice: Double chance : San Marcos de Arica or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.13 @ 1xBet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away3.49 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.63 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): San Marcos de Arica = 1.75 (league 1.26), Union San Felipe = 1.04 (league 0.87)

Union San Felipe
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Marcos de Arica 0 6.2% 6.4% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.8% 11.2% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.8% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.5% 5.7% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.1% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 22.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1