Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 15:30 • Estadio Regional de Antofagasta
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.26) 1.22 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.7% 29.1% 42.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.9%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Universidad de Concepcion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Antofagasta 0 11.5% 13.9% 8.5% 3.4% 1.0% 0.3%
1 10.9% 13.2% 8.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 5.2% 6.3% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAntofagastaUniversidad de Concepcion
Played55
Form33%87%
Attack46%46%
Defense62%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Antofagasta Universidad de Concepcion
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins46%21%33%57%54%56%
Draws31%43%37%7%23%15%
Loses23%36%30%36%23%30%

Form: Antofagasta: DWLDLWDLDWLDWLWLDWDWDWDWDLL • Universidad de Concepcion: DWWLWLLLDWWWDWLLWLLWWWWWDWW

League goals

Metric Antofagasta Universidad de Concepcion
HATHAT
GF total261238201535
GF avg2.00.91.41.41.21.3
GA total12193113821
GA avg0.91.41.10.90.60.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAntofagastaUniversidad de Concepcion
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%59%63%63%
1.541%33%41%11%
2.519%15%11%4%
3.511%7%11%0%
4.54%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAntofagastaUniversidad de Concepcion
HATHAT
Clean sheets65115510
Failed to score3694610

Penalties

MetricAntofagastaUniversidad de Concepcion
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricAntofagastaUniversidad de Concepcion
Wins15
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-25-11-4
Biggest losses0-24-00-31-0
Goals For5254
Goals Against3431

Model comparison

MetricAntofagastaUniversidad de Concepcion
Form28%72%
Att50%50%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h93%7%
Goals75%25%
Total51.5%48.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Antofagasta or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.92 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.42 @ Pinnacle
Away2.75 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ Unibet
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Antofagasta = 0.95 (league 1.26), Universidad de Concepcion = 1.22 (league 0.89)

Universidad de Concepcion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Antofagasta 0 11.5% 13.9% 8.5% 3.4% 1.0% 0.3%
1 10.9% 13.2% 8.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 5.2% 6.3% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.7% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 42.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1