Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Municipal de La Pintana
Halftime
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.26) 1.01 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.4% 32.9% 40.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.3%
0 - 0
17.1%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Cobreloa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santiago Morning 0 17.1% 17.3% 8.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.9% 13.0% 6.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.8% 4.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSantiago MorningCobreloa
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack38%100%
Defense0%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

4 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santiago Morning Cobreloa
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins23%36%30%57%31%44%
Draws38%21%30%29%31%30%
Loses38%43%41%14%38%26%

Form: Santiago Morning: DWDLLWLLDLWDWDWWLWLDLLLLDDW • Cobreloa: DDLDWWDDWWDLLWLLWWWLWDDLWWW

League goals

Metric Santiago Morning Cobreloa
HATHAT
GF total71421271340
GF avg0.51.00.81.91.01.5
GA total122234142539
GA avg0.91.61.31.01.91.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSantiago MorningCobreloa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%63%78%81%
1.519%33%37%33%
2.54%15%19%19%
3.50%11%15%7%
4.50%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSantiago MorningCobreloa
HATHAT
Clean sheets4610325
Failed to score8412246

Penalties

MetricSantiago MorningCobreloa
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricSantiago MorningCobreloa
Wins23
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-24-03-4
Biggest losses0-35-10-25-1
Goals For2344
Goals Against3525

Model comparison

MetricSantiago MorningCobreloa
Form33%67%
Att25%75%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total35.3%64.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cobreloa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.28 @ Pinnacle
Away2.36 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No1.97 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.77 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santiago Morning = 0.75 (league 1.26), Cobreloa = 1.01 (league 0.89)

Cobreloa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santiago Morning 0 17.1% 17.3% 8.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.9% 13.0% 6.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.8% 4.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.4% · Draw 32.9% · Away win 40.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1