Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 15:30 • Estadio Bicentenario La Granja
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.26) 2.36 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.2% 19.6% 50.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.3%
1 - 1
7.0%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Santiago Wanderers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Curico Unido 0 1.8% 4.2% 5.0% 3.9% 2.3% 1.1%
1 3.0% 7.0% 8.3% 6.5% 3.9% 1.8%
2 2.5% 5.8% 6.9% 5.4% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.4% 3.2% 3.8% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8%
4 0.6% 1.3% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCurico UnidoSantiago Wanderers
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack46%46%
Defense23%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Curico Unido Santiago Wanderers
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins23%21%22%43%31%37%
Draws31%36%33%36%46%41%
Loses46%43%44%21%23%22%

Form: Curico Unido: WDDDLWLDWLWLDLLWDLDDLLDLLWL • Santiago Wanderers: DWWWLWDDLDLDWDWWLLWWWDDLDDD

League goals

Metric Curico Unido Santiago Wanderers
HATHAT
GF total191130221840
GF avg1.50.81.11.61.41.5
GA total201636141832
GA avg1.51.11.31.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCurico UnidoSantiago Wanderers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%70%78%63%
1.530%37%44%30%
2.57%22%15%22%
3.54%4%7%4%
4.54%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCurico UnidoSantiago Wanderers
HATHAT
Clean sheets2685510
Failed to score279336

Penalties

MetricCurico UnidoSantiago Wanderers
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total26

Streaks

MetricCurico UnidoSantiago Wanderers
Wins13
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-25-10-3
Biggest losses1-34-21-34-1
Goals For5253
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricCurico UnidoSantiago Wanderers
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h36%64%
Goals47%53%
Total44.2%55.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Santiago Wanderers

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.75 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Curico Unido = 1.66 (league 1.26), Santiago Wanderers = 2.36 (league 0.89)

Santiago Wanderers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Curico Unido 0 1.8% 4.2% 5.0% 3.9% 2.3% 1.1%
1 3.0% 7.0% 8.3% 6.5% 3.9% 1.8%
2 2.5% 5.8% 6.9% 5.4% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.4% 3.2% 3.8% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8%
4 0.6% 1.3% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.2% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 50.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1