Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 20:30 •
Estadio Ester Roa
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.26)
1.11 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.0% | 25.3% | 27.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
10.9%
2 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| San Luis | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Concepción | 0 | 7.0% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.9% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Concepción | San Luis |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 80% |
| Defense | 30% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Concepción | San Luis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 46% | 36% | 41% | 29% | 38% | 33% |
| Draws | 31% | 14% | 22% | 50% | 23% | 37% |
| Loses | 23% | 50% | 37% | 21% | 38% | 30% |
Form: Concepción: DLLLWWWWLWDDLLWLDWWDLLWWLWD • San Luis: DDDWLWWDWWLLLDLWLDWLLDDWWDD
League goals
| Metric | Concepción | San Luis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 20 | 38 | 12 | 16 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 11 | 23 | 34 | 12 | 18 | 30 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Concepción | San Luis | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 63% | 70% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 48% | 26% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 11% | 7% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Concepción | San Luis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Concepción | San Luis |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Concepción | San Luis |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Concepción | San Luis |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 53.0% | 47.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Concepción or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Concepción = 1.55 (league 1.26), San Luis = 1.11 (league 0.87)
| San Luis | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Concepción | 0 | 7.0% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.9% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.0% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 27.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1