Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 15:30 •
Estadio Municipal de San Felipe
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.26)
1.01 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.0% | 28.2% | 29.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
13.0%
0 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Santiago Morning | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Union San Felipe | 0 | 10.2% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 13.1% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Union San Felipe | Santiago Morning |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 46% | 38% |
| Defense | 46% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Union San Felipe | Santiago Morning | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 43% | 7% | 25% | 29% | 36% | 32% |
| Draws | 14% | 29% | 21% | 36% | 21% | 29% |
| Loses | 43% | 64% | 54% | 36% | 43% | 39% |
Form: Union San Felipe: DLLLDLDWLLLDLLWWWWDLWLLWLLDL • Santiago Morning: DWDLLWLLDLWDWDWWLWLDLLLLDDWW
League goals
| Metric | Union San Felipe | Santiago Morning | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 13 | 27 | 10 | 14 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 13 | 23 | 36 | 12 | 22 | 34 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Union San Felipe | Santiago Morning | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 75% | 57% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 50% | 21% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 4% | 7% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Union San Felipe | Santiago Morning | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Union San Felipe | Santiago Morning |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Union San Felipe | Santiago Morning |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Union San Felipe | Santiago Morning |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 47.5% | 52.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Santiago Morning
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Union San Felipe = 1.27 (league 1.26), Santiago Morning = 1.01 (league 0.89)
| Santiago Morning | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Union San Felipe | 0 | 10.2% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 13.1% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.0% · Draw 28.2% · Away win 29.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1