Primera B — Chile
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 15:30 • Estadio Municipal Joaquín Muñoz García
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.27) 1.93 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.3% 22.1% 48.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
San Marcos de Arica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportes Santa Cruz 0 3.6% 7.0% 6.8% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
1 5.0% 9.7% 9.4% 6.0% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.5% 6.7% 6.5% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.6% 3.1% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportes Santa CruzSan Marcos de Arica
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack18%55%
Defense45%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportes Santa Cruz San Marcos de Arica
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins29%14%21%50%43%46%
Draws29%43%36%29%14%21%
Loses43%43%43%21%43%32%

Form: Deportes Santa Cruz: LLDWLLWLLDDDLWWDDDLLWWLLDLDD • San Marcos de Arica: LDWLWWWWWLWLWWWLLDLDLWDDWDLW

League goals

Metric Deportes Santa Cruz San Marcos de Arica
HATHAT
GF total161228181836
GF avg1.10.91.01.31.31.3
GA total181937122234
GA avg1.31.41.30.91.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportes Santa CruzSan Marcos de Arica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%71%75%71%
1.532%46%39%29%
2.57%14%14%11%
3.50%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportes Santa CruzSan Marcos de Arica
HATHAT
Clean sheets538538
Failed to score5611347

Penalties

MetricDeportes Santa CruzSan Marcos de Arica
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricDeportes Santa CruzSan Marcos de Arica
Wins25
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-33-01-3
Biggest losses0-33-01-24-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against3325

Model comparison

MetricDeportes Santa CruzSan Marcos de Arica
Form27%73%
Att25%75%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h60%40%
Goals53%47%
Total41.5%58.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or San Marcos de Arica

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Bet365
Draw3.25 @ Betano
Away3.06 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.31 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.68 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ 1xBet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportes Santa Cruz = 1.38 (league 1.27), San Marcos de Arica = 1.93 (league 0.88)

San Marcos de Arica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportes Santa Cruz 0 3.6% 7.0% 6.8% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
1 5.0% 9.7% 9.4% 6.0% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.5% 6.7% 6.5% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.6% 3.1% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.3% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 48.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1