Fri, Oct 31 2025 • 20:30 •
Estadio Ester Roa
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.27)
0.94 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.7% | 23.3% | 19.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
11.8%
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Union San Felipe | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Concepción | 0 | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 11.1% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.4% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Concepción | Union San Felipe |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 27% |
| Attack | 86% | 57% |
| Defense | 0% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Concepción | Union San Felipe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 43% | 33% | 38% | 47% | 7% | 28% |
| Draws | 36% | 13% | 24% | 13% | 29% | 21% |
| Loses | 21% | 53% | 38% | 40% | 64% | 52% |
Form: Concepción: DLLLWWWWLWDDLLWLDWWDLLWWLWDDL • Union San Felipe: DLLLDLDWLLLDLLWWWWDLWLLWLLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Concepción | Union San Felipe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 20 | 40 | 16 | 13 | 29 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 13 | 24 | 37 | 13 | 23 | 36 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Concepción | Union San Felipe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 66% | 66% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 48% | 21% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 10% | 10% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 3% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Concepción | Union San Felipe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Concepción | Union San Felipe |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Concepción | Union San Felipe |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Concepción | Union San Felipe |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 50.2% | 49.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Union San Felipe
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Concepción = 1.76 (league 1.27), Union San Felipe = 0.94 (league 0.86)
| Union San Felipe | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Concepción | 0 | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 11.1% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.4% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.7% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 19.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1