Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 11:30 • Kuressaare linnastaadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.76) 1.77 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.0% 23.3% 55.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.6%
1 - 1
11.1%
0 - 2
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Trans Narva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kuressaare 0 6.6% 11.6% 10.3% 6.1% 2.7% 1.0%
1 6.2% 11.1% 9.8% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 3.0% 5.3% 4.7% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
3 0.9% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKuressaareTrans Narva
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack33%40%
Defense20%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kuressaare Trans Narva
HATHAT
Played141428151328
Wins36%7%21%53%46%50%
Draws0%14%7%13%15%14%
Loses64%79%71%33%38%36%

Form: Kuressaare: LWLLLLLWLWDWLLLLLDLLWLLLLLWL • Trans Narva: DLWWLWWLWLWWWWWLLLWDLDWWWLLD

League goals

Metric Kuressaare Trans Narva
HATHAT
GF total171128272047
GF avg1.20.81.01.81.51.7
GA total243458181836
GA avg1.72.42.11.21.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKuressaareTrans Narva
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%89%79%71%
1.525%68%43%50%
2.50%29%25%7%
3.50%14%18%0%
4.50%7%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKuressaareTrans Narva
HATHAT
Clean sheets213538
Failed to score257336

Penalties

MetricKuressaareTrans Narva
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total65

Streaks

MetricKuressaareTrans Narva
Wins15
Draws11
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-24-02-5
Biggest losses1-35-01-33-1
Goals For2245
Goals Against3533

Model comparison

MetricKuressaareTrans Narva
Form30%70%
Att45%55%
Def37%63%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Trans Narva

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.73 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.11 @ Pinnacle
Away1.64 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Pinnacle
No2.16 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.63 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kuressaare = 0.95 (league 1.76), Trans Narva = 1.77 (league 1.44)

Trans Narva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kuressaare 0 6.6% 11.6% 10.3% 6.1% 2.7% 1.0%
1 6.2% 11.1% 9.8% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 3.0% 5.3% 4.7% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
3 0.9% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.0% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 55.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1