Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 16:00 • Tamme staadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.76) 1.06 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.1% 23.4% 22.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
1 - 0
10.5%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Kuressaare
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tammeka 0 5.9% 6.3% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.5% 11.1% 5.9% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.8% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.5% 5.8% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.4% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTammekaKuressaare
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack41%24%
Defense47%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tammeka Kuressaare
HATHAT
Played151429151429
Wins27%21%24%33%7%21%
Draws7%7%7%7%14%10%
Loses67%71%69%60%79%69%

Form: Tammeka: WLDLLLLLWLLLLWLWWLLWLLLLLWDLL • Kuressaare: LWLLLLLWLWDWLLLLLDLLWLLLLLWLD

League goals

Metric Tammeka Kuressaare
HATHAT
GF total201737171128
GF avg1.31.21.31.10.81.0
GA total284068243458
GA avg1.92.92.31.62.42.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTammekaKuressaare
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%86%72%86%
1.534%69%24%66%
2.510%38%0%28%
3.53%24%0%14%
4.53%7%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTammekaKuressaare
HATHAT
Clean sheets314314
Failed to score437358

Penalties

MetricTammekaKuressaare
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total36

Streaks

MetricTammekaKuressaare
Wins21
Draws11
Losses55

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-22-00-2
Biggest losses0-58-11-35-0
Goals For5322
Goals Against5835

Model comparison

MetricTammekaKuressaare
Form50%50%
Att64%36%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h93%7%
Goals73%27%
Total64.8%35.2%

Advice: Double chance : Tammeka or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ William Hill
Draw3.83 @ Pinnacle
Away3.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.64 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.54 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tammeka = 1.77 (league 1.76), Kuressaare = 1.06 (league 1.44)

Kuressaare
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tammeka 0 5.9% 6.3% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.5% 11.1% 5.9% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.8% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.5% 5.8% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.4% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.1% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 22.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1