Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 11:30 • Kuressaare Linnastaadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.78) 1.46 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.8% 26.7% 57.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.3%
0 - 2
13.3%
0 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Paide
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kuressaare 0 12.6% 18.3% 13.3% 6.5% 2.4% 0.7%
1 7.8% 11.3% 8.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4%
2 2.4% 3.5% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKuressaarePaide
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack24%41%
Defense71%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kuressaare Paide
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins33%13%23%60%60%60%
Draws7%13%10%27%0%13%
Loses60%73%67%13%40%27%

Form: Kuressaare: LWLLLLLWLWDWLLLLLDLLWLLLLLWLDW • Paide: WWLWWWWLWLDLDWLWWWWLWWDWWLDWLW

League goals

Metric Kuressaare Paide
HATHAT
GF total171229302050
GF avg1.10.81.02.01.31.7
GA total243458131528
GA avg1.62.31.90.91.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKuressaarePaide
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%83%77%67%
1.523%63%57%20%
2.50%27%17%7%
3.50%13%10%0%
4.50%7%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKuressaarePaide
HATHAT
Clean sheets3256410
Failed to score358257

Penalties

MetricKuressaarePaide
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total66

Streaks

MetricKuressaarePaide
Wins14
Draws11
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-25-00-3
Biggest losses1-35-00-33-0
Goals For2253
Goals Against3533

Model comparison

MetricKuressaarePaide
Form50%50%
Att36%64%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h7%93%
Goals29%71%
Total35.2%64.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Paide

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home10.00 @ 10Bet
Draw4.75 @ Unibet
Away1.44 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.38 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ 10Bet
No2.00 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kuressaare = 0.62 (league 1.78), Paide = 1.46 (league 1.43)

Paide
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kuressaare 0 12.6% 18.3% 13.3% 6.5% 2.4% 0.7%
1 7.8% 11.3% 8.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4%
2 2.4% 3.5% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.8% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 57.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1