Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Kadrioru Staadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.78) 3.01 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.9% 11.8% 72.8%
best score tips
0 - 3
10.0%
0 - 2
10.0%
1 - 3
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Trans Narva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tallinna Kalev 0 2.2% 6.6% 10.0% 10.0% 7.5% 4.5%
1 1.8% 5.3% 8.0% 8.1% 6.1% 3.7%
2 0.7% 2.1% 3.2% 3.2% 2.4% 1.5%
3 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTallinna KalevTrans Narva
Played55
Form0%13%
Attack12%24%
Defense24%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tallinna Kalev Trans Narva
HATHAT
Played151530161430
Wins27%0%13%50%43%47%
Draws0%13%7%13%21%17%
Loses73%87%80%38%36%37%

Form: Tallinna Kalev: LLLLWLDLLWLLLLLLLLWWLLDLLLLLLL • Trans Narva: DLWWLWWLWLWWWWWLLLWDLDWWWLLDDL

League goals

Metric Tallinna Kalev Trans Narva
HATHAT
GF total161026292049
GF avg1.10.70.91.81.41.6
GA total464692211839
GA avg3.13.13.11.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTallinna KalevTrans Narva
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%97%77%70%
1.523%80%43%50%
2.510%50%23%10%
3.53%33%17%0%
4.50%23%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTallinna KalevTrans Narva
HATHAT
Clean sheets101549
Failed to score7815347

Penalties

MetricTallinna KalevTrans Narva
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total46

Streaks

MetricTallinna KalevTrans Narva
Wins25
Draws12
Losses83

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-14-02-5
Biggest losses0-96-11-33-1
Goals For4245
Goals Against9633

Model comparison

MetricTallinna KalevTrans Narva
Form0%100%
Att33%67%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h0%100%
Goals22%78%
Total29.3%70.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Trans Narva

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.28 @ 1xBet
Draw4.95 @ Pinnacle
Away1.44 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.63 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.10 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tallinna Kalev = 0.81 (league 1.78), Trans Narva = 3.01 (league 1.44)

Trans Narva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tallinna Kalev 0 2.2% 6.6% 10.0% 10.0% 7.5% 4.5%
1 1.8% 5.3% 8.0% 8.1% 6.1% 3.7%
2 0.7% 2.1% 3.2% 3.2% 2.4% 1.5%
3 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.9% · Draw 11.8% · Away win 72.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1