Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:30 • Hiiu Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.78) 1.32 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.8% 25.2% 33.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
9.0%
2 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Vaprus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kalju Nomme 0 6.1% 8.0% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.0% 11.9% 7.8% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.7% 8.8% 5.8% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.3% 4.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKalju NommeVaprus
Played55
Form73%80%
Attack56%50%
Defense69%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kalju Nomme Vaprus
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins67%53%60%33%60%47%
Draws7%20%13%33%7%20%
Loses27%27%27%33%33%33%

Form: Kalju Nomme: WLDLLWWWWWWWWLWWWLDLWWLLWDDWWW • Vaprus: LWLWDLDLLWLLWDWWLDDLDWWWWWLWWW

League goals

Metric Kalju Nomme Vaprus
HATHAT
GF total362359242852
GF avg2.41.52.01.61.91.7
GA total151934221739
GA avg1.01.31.11.51.11.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKalju NommeVaprus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%63%80%73%
1.557%40%50%40%
2.530%7%17%13%
3.510%3%10%3%
4.57%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKalju NommeVaprus
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511358
Failed to score134336

Penalties

MetricKalju NommeVaprus
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total37

Streaks

MetricKalju NommeVaprus
Wins85
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-38-10-5
Biggest losses0-24-00-33-0
Goals For6385
Goals Against2434

Model comparison

MetricKalju NommeVaprus
Form48%52%
Att53%47%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h71%29%
Goals65%35%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Kalju Nomme or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.64 @ Superbet
Draw4.42 @ Pinnacle
Away4.75 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ 888Sport
Under 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kalju Nomme = 1.49 (league 1.78), Vaprus = 1.32 (league 1.44)

Vaprus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kalju Nomme 0 6.1% 8.0% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.0% 11.9% 7.8% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.7% 8.8% 5.8% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.3% 4.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.8% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 33.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1