Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 13:00 • Narva Kreenholmi staadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.75) 1.65 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.0% 24.4% 48.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
0 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Vaprus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trans Narva 0 6.2% 10.2% 8.4% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6%
1 7.0% 11.6% 9.5% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
2 4.0% 6.5% 5.4% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.5% 2.5% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTrans NarvaVaprus
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack40%47%
Defense53%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Trans Narva Vaprus
HATHAT
Played161531151631
Wins50%47%48%33%56%45%
Draws13%20%16%33%6%19%
Loses38%33%35%33%38%35%

Form: Trans Narva: DLWWLWWLWLWWWWWLLLWDLDWWWLLDDLW • Vaprus: LWLWDLDLLWLLWDWWLDDLDWWWWWLWWWL

League goals

Metric Trans Narva Vaprus
HATHAT
GF total292352242852
GF avg1.81.51.71.61.81.7
GA total211940221840
GA avg1.31.31.31.51.11.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTrans NarvaVaprus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%71%77%74%
1.545%48%48%39%
2.526%10%16%13%
3.516%0%10%3%
4.53%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTrans NarvaVaprus
HATHAT
Clean sheets549358
Failed to score347347

Penalties

MetricTrans NarvaVaprus
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total67

Streaks

MetricTrans NarvaVaprus
Wins55
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-58-10-5
Biggest losses1-33-10-33-0
Goals For4585
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricTrans NarvaVaprus
Form36%64%
Att46%54%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total53.8%46.2%

Advice: Double chance : Trans Narva or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ William Hill
Draw3.77 @ Pinnacle
Away3.61 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.27 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Trans Narva = 1.13 (league 1.75), Vaprus = 1.65 (league 1.42)

Vaprus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trans Narva 0 6.2% 10.2% 8.4% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6%
1 7.0% 11.6% 9.5% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
2 4.0% 6.5% 5.4% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.5% 2.5% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.0% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 48.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1