Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 16:00 • A. Le Coq Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.84 (league 1.78) 0.53 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.4% 5.5% 2.0%
best score tips
3 - 0
11.9%
4 - 0
11.4%
2 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Tallinna Kalev
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flora Tallinn 0 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.3% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.9% 6.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.4% 6.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.8% 4.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlora TallinnTallinna Kalev
Played55
Form60%0%
Attack67%20%
Defense40%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Flora Tallinn Tallinna Kalev
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins67%75%71%25%0%13%
Draws7%13%10%0%13%6%
Loses27%13%19%75%87%81%

Form: Flora Tallinn: DLWWWWDWWLWWWWWLWLWWWDWWWWWWLLW • Tallinna Kalev: LLLLWLDLLWLLLLLLLLWWLLDLLLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Flora Tallinn Tallinna Kalev
HATHAT
GF total333568171027
GF avg2.22.22.21.10.70.9
GA total161430494695
GA avg1.10.91.03.13.13.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlora TallinnTallinna Kalev
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%68%52%97%
1.571%19%23%81%
2.539%10%10%52%
3.513%0%3%32%
4.53%0%0%23%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlora TallinnTallinna Kalev
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510101
Failed to score1127815

Penalties

MetricFlora TallinnTallinna Kalev
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricFlora TallinnTallinna Kalev
Wins62
Draws11
Losses28

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-44-1
Biggest losses2-33-10-96-1
Goals For5442
Goals Against3396

Model comparison

MetricFlora TallinnTallinna Kalev
Form100%0%
Att77%23%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h100%0%
Goals83%17%
Total76.5%23.5%

Advice: Winner : Flora Tallinn

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.12 @ Bet365
Draw10.23 @ Pinnacle
Away21.00 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.22 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Flora Tallinn = 3.84 (league 1.78), Tallinna Kalev = 0.53 (league 1.44)

Tallinna Kalev
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flora Tallinn 0 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.3% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.9% 6.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.4% 6.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.8% 4.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.4% · Draw 5.5% · Away win 2.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1