Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 15:00 • A. Le Coq Arena
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.78) 1.04 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.2% 23.5% 22.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
1 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Trans Narva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flora Tallinn 0 6.1% 6.3% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.7% 11.1% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.8% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.5% 5.7% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlora TallinnTrans Narva
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack76%35%
Defense53%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Flora Tallinn Trans Narva
HATHAT
Played161632171532
Wins69%75%72%47%47%47%
Draws6%13%9%18%20%19%
Loses25%13%19%35%33%34%

Form: Flora Tallinn: DLWWWWDWWLWWWWWLWLWWWDWWWWWWLLWW • Trans Narva: DLWWLWWLWLWWWWWLLLWDLDWWWLLDDLWD

League goals

Metric Flora Tallinn Trans Narva
HATHAT
GF total393574302353
GF avg2.42.22.31.81.51.7
GA total161430221941
GA avg1.00.90.91.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlora TallinnTrans Narva
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%66%78%72%
1.572%19%44%47%
2.541%9%25%9%
3.516%0%16%0%
4.56%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlora TallinnTrans Narva
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511549
Failed to score112347

Penalties

MetricFlora TallinnTrans Narva
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total66

Streaks

MetricFlora TallinnTrans Narva
Wins65
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-44-02-5
Biggest losses2-33-11-33-1
Goals For6445
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricFlora TallinnTrans Narva
Form60%40%
Att68%32%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h75%25%
Goals60%40%
Total60.5%39.5%

Advice: Double chance : Flora Tallinn or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.69 @ 1xBet
Draw4.00 @ Dafabet
Away4.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.38 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ Marathonbet
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Flora Tallinn = 1.76 (league 1.78), Trans Narva = 1.04 (league 1.44)

Trans Narva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flora Tallinn 0 6.1% 6.3% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.7% 11.1% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.8% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.5% 5.7% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.2% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 22.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1